Uniswap price: UNI drops 8%, can $8.09 support hold?

Uniswap Price analysis week 41, 2026

Uniswap comes under pressure: UNI drops more than 8% in 24 hours and now sits just above the key $8.09 support. Volume is running nearly 30% below the 30-day average, and the MACD has already flipped bearish, even as RSI still holds in neutral territory. If $8.09 breaks, the next relevant reference lies well below current levels, while a defense of this zone would keep the broader uptrend intact.

Key takeaways in a nutshell

  • Sharp intraday drop: UNI trades at $8.24 after an 8.2% slide in 24 hours, pulling back from the weekly high at $9.32.

  • Uptrend still intact: The price remains 21.5% above the 50-day moving average ($6.78) and nearly 96% above the 200-day line ($4.21).

  • $8.09 is the line: Primary support at $8.09 is now in direct focus, with secondary support at $7.72 as the next cushion.

  • Momentum cooling: RSI sits at 62, still constructive, but MACD has already turned bearish and volume is 28% below the 30-day average.

  • AI sees upside into 2026: Our AI model places the year-end 2026 range between $9.03 and $11.59, roughly 7% to 38% above current levels.

What happened to the Uniswap price?

Uniswap trades at $8.24 after dropping 8.2% in the last 24 hours, giving back a notable chunk of its recent gains. The move pushes UNI back toward the primary support at $8.09 and away from the weekly high at $9.32.

Over seven days, UNI is down about 7%, yet the 30-day performance still shows a solid 16% gain, and the 60-day window remains up more than 100%. The most telling detail: 24-hour volume came in at $600 million, roughly 28% below the 30-day average. The slide is sharp, but it is not being carried by a wave of fresh selling pressure.

Key price levels for Uniswap

On the upside, the first serious hurdle sits at $9.45, with $9.81 right behind it; a reclaim of this zone would reopen the path toward the monthly high at $10.90. On the downside, $8.09 is the level that matters now, as it marks the primary support that has been defining the current range. If that floor gives way, the next meaningful reference is secondary support at $7.72, below which the structure would quickly weaken.

Uniswap price with support at $8.09 and resistance at $9.45
Uniswap price over the last 7 days, with support at $8.09 and resistance at $9.45. Price data: CoinGecko.

Uniswap indicators: RSI, MACD and volume

The three indicators currently paint a mixed picture that leans cautious. RSI at 62 is still in constructive territory and far from overbought, leaving room in either direction. The MACD, however, has flipped to a bearish reading with a histogram that has been deteriorating for days, confirming the loss of short-term momentum. Volume at 28% below the 30-day average underlines that neither buyers nor sellers are stepping in with real conviction. Taken together, the setup suggests a market that is cooling off rather than capitulating, but one that clearly needs a catalyst to stabilize.

Sell
BuySell

Relative Strength Index

62.0
Sell
Last 14 days

MACD

Bearish

AI forecast for Uniswap

Looking toward year-end 2026, our AI forecast model places Uniswap in a range between $9.03 and $11.59. The central expected value sits at $10.49, which is not a price target, but the midpoint of a broad probability distribution.

The range itself is more informative than the midpoint: it signals that the model sees upside potential while still leaving plenty of room for volatility along the way. In the conservative case, the forecast implies about 7.2% upside from current levels, while the optimistic case points to roughly 37.6% above today's price. For a token that has already more than doubled over the last 60 days, that spread captures both the maturing trend and the risk of sharper pullbacks.

What could happen now?

Bullish scenario

A reclaim of the $9.45 resistance on clearly higher volume would be the first serious signal that buyers are back in control. In that case, the short-term setup would brighten noticeably, with $9.81 and the monthly high at $10.90 moving into reach. For a sustainable move, the RSI should push higher without tipping into overbought territory, and the MACD would need to turn back toward a bullish crossover. Crucially, the $8.09 support must not be lost again, otherwise any upside attempt risks being faded quickly.

Trigger: > $9.45 with elevated volume

Bearish scenario

A clean break below $8.09 would confirm that sellers have taken over the short-term tape. The MACD is already bearish, and a loss of support with rising volume would amplify that signal. The next relevant reference would then be secondary support at $7.72, with the monthly low at $5.86 as the broader orientation point further down. A sustained move below $7.72 would start to question the 50-day uptrend and shift the medium-term structure to the defensive side.

Trigger: < $8.09

Conclusion: $8.09 level decides the direction

The technical setup is mixed but still constructive, with UNI sitting on a solid longer-term uptrend while short-term momentum fades. The decisive area is the zone between $8.09 support and $9.45 resistance.

A defense of $8.09 followed by a reclaim of $9.45 would put the monthly high at $10.90 back on the radar. A break below $8.09, however, would open the path to $7.72 and challenge the character of the current uptrend. With volume running below average and the MACD already bearish, the market lacks a clear driver in either direction. The next few trading days are likely to set the direction.

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Philipp Duringer, Founder of coinbird.com

Philipp Duringer

Founder of coinbird.com

Since 2017, Philipp Duringer has been deeply involved in Bitcoin, crypto assets and digital financial markets. As the founder of Coinbird, he combines years of crypto experience with more than 15 years of technical experience in IT and digital products. His goal is to make crypto easier to understand, more transparent and easier to compare.

About the author

AI-assisted: This price analysis is generated automatically based on structured market data and reviewed through defined quality rules. It is for informational purposes only and is not financial or investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell crypto assets.

Price data: CoinGecko. Updated at .