Hyperliquid is pushing right back into the decisive zone. After a 4.4% daily jump, HYPE trades at $81.02 and tests resistance around $80.90, with the 50-day average just above at $85.10. A clean break would open the path toward $85.60, while a rejection quickly puts the $73.10 support back in focus.
Key takeaways in a nutshell
Resistance in sight: HYPE trades at $81.02 after a 4.4% daily gain and is testing the primary resistance at $80.90.
Trend split: The price sits 4.8% below the 50-day average at $85.10, but still 24% above the 200-day line at $65.30.
Decisive zone: The battle between $80.90 resistance and $73.10 support will likely set the next directional move.
Momentum cooled: The RSI at 36 shows weak momentum close to oversold territory, giving bulls room but no confirmation yet.
AI sees upside: The AI forecast model projects a 2026 year-end range of $104.58 to $156.02, well above current levels.
What happened to the Hyperliquid price?
Hyperliquid is back at the edge of its decisive zone. HYPE trades at $81.02, up 4.4% on the day, and is pressing directly against the $80.90 resistance that has capped the recent recovery attempts. The weekly high at $82.40 sits only marginally higher, which makes the current test particularly meaningful.
The broader picture remains split: over the past 30 days HYPE is down 11.5%, but the 200-day performance of nearly +95% underlines the longer-term strength. Daily volume at $753 million is almost exactly in line with the 30-day average, meaning the move so far lacks a clear volume push behind it.
Key price levels for Hyperliquid
The first hurdle sits at $80.90, and a clean daily close above it would open the path toward the next resistance at $85.60, which coincides with the 50-day average. On the downside, $73.10 is the key support, defining the lower edge of the recent range and aligning closely with the monthly low at $74.50. If that zone fails, the secondary support at $69.90 becomes the next relevant orientation.
Hyperliquid indicators: RSI, MACD and volume
The three indicators currently paint a mixed picture. The RSI at 36 signals weak momentum and sits close to oversold territory, which can either precede a rebound or confirm continued weakness. The MACD remains bearish at -2.57, but the histogram has been narrowing over the last sessions, suggesting that selling pressure is slowly easing. Volume is essentially flat at 1.3% below the 30-day average, meaning the current push toward resistance is not yet backed by convincing participation. Taken together, the setup points to a market in transition: momentum is turning, but confirmation is still missing.
Relative Strength Index
MACD
AI forecast for Hyperliquid
Looking toward year-end 2026, our AI forecast model places Hyperliquid in a range between $104.58 and $156.02. The central expected value sits at $127.74, but this figure is not a price target, it is the midpoint of a broad probability distribution.
The width of the range matters more than the midpoint: it reflects how much uncertainty remains around HYPE's path over the coming year. In the conservative case, the model implies an upside of roughly 29.3% from current levels, while the optimistic case would translate into a gain of about 92.9%. Both ends sit clearly above today's price, but neither is a guarantee.
What could happen now?
Bullish scenario
A sustained daily close above $80.90 would be the first real signal that buyers are regaining control. In that case, the path toward $85.60 and the 50-day average opens up, which would also mark the first serious attempt to repair the broken short-term trend. For the move to carry, the RSI should turn higher without immediately overheating, and volume needs to pick up noticeably above the 30-day average. As long as HYPE then holds above the $73.10 support on any pullback, the bullish setup remains intact.
Trigger: > $80.90 with elevated volume
Bearish scenario
If HYPE fails at $80.90 and loses the $73.10 support, the short-term picture deteriorates quickly. A break below that zone would expose the monthly low at $74.50 as already taken out and shift focus to the secondary support at $69.90. A sustained move under $69.90 would put additional pressure on the medium-term trend, with the gap toward the 200-day average at $65.30 widening the downside risk. In that case, the current test of resistance would look more like a failed rebound than the start of a reversal.
Trigger: < $73.10
Conclusion: Decision at $80.90
The technical setup is mixed, but constructive enough to keep the breakout scenario alive. The decisive area runs between the $80.90 resistance and the $73.10 support.
A clean break above $80.90 with volume would clear the way toward $85.60 and signal that the recent weakness was a correction, not a trend change. A failure at resistance followed by a loss of $73.10, however, would open the door toward $69.90 and keep sellers in control. The next few trading days are likely to set the direction.
Want to buy Hyperliquid? Kraken is our recommended crypto trading platform.
Continue to KrakenSince 2017, Philipp Duringer has been deeply involved in Bitcoin, crypto assets and digital financial markets. As the founder of Coinbird, he combines years of crypto experience with more than 15 years of technical experience in IT and digital products. His goal is to make crypto easier to understand, more transparent and easier to compare.
About the authorAI-assisted: This price analysis is generated automatically based on structured market data and reviewed through defined quality rules. It is for informational purposes only and is not financial or investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell crypto assets.
