Axie Infinity is making noise again. AXS has jumped almost 15% in a single day to $1.39, pushing straight through the $1.32 resistance on volume that is more than 2.5 times the 30-day average. Now the question is whether buyers can clear the $1.41 secondary resistance or whether this move cools off into another rejection.
Key takeaways in a nutshell
Explosive daily move: AXS trades at $1.39 after a 14.9% daily surge, with 30-day gains of over 47%.
Trend fully flipped: Price sits 41% above the 50-day average ($0.99) and 31% above the 200-day average ($1.06).
$1.41 is the gate: Primary resistance at $1.32 has been cleared, leaving $1.41 as the next decisive level.
Momentum running hot: RSI at 68 is close to overbought, while MACD remains clearly bullish at 0.063.
AI sees room higher: The AI model projects a 2026 range of $1.42 to $2.59, with a midpoint around $1.92.
What happened to the Axie Infinity price?
Axie Infinity has pushed back into the spotlight. AXS trades at $1.39, up almost 15% in 24 hours and 18% over the past week, with the move taking price above the prior weekly high of $1.31. The 30-day gain now stands at an impressive 47%, and the two-month return is above 63%.
The most telling detail is volume: 24-hour turnover of $99.4 million is roughly 255% above the 30-day average of $28 million. A move of this size backed by that kind of participation is not something to dismiss, especially after months in which AXS struggled to attract flows.
Key price levels for Axie Infinity
The first hurdle at $1.32 has already been tagged and broken on this move; a clean daily close above it would open the path toward the next resistance at $1.41, where sellers are likely to defend. On the downside, $1.12 is the primary support and the level that needs to hold to keep the breakout structure intact. If that fails, the next relevant reference is the secondary support near $0.996, which also roughly aligns with the 50-day average.
Axie Infinity indicators: RSI, MACD and volume
The three indicators currently paint a consistent, clearly bullish picture. RSI sits at 68, right at the edge of overbought territory, which signals strong momentum but also warns that the move is stretched in the short term. MACD is firmly in positive territory at 0.063 with a bullish signal, and the histogram has been expanding over the recent sessions, confirming the trend push. Volume at 255% above the 30-day average is the strongest piece of evidence, showing that this breakout is being driven by real participation rather than a thin squeeze. Taken together, the setup looks like a genuine momentum shift, with the only caveat being how quickly RSI has climbed.
Relative Strength Index
MACD
AI forecast for Axie Infinity
Looking toward year-end 2026, our AI forecast model places AXS in a range between $1.42 and $2.59. The central expected value sits near $1.92, which should not be read as a price target, but as the midpoint of a broad probability distribution.
The width of this range matters: it reflects that AXS momentum has clearly turned, but that follow-through from here depends on whether buyers can hold the ground they have taken. In the conservative case, the model implies only about 1.6% upside from current levels, essentially flagging that most of the near-term move may already be priced in. The optimistic case points to roughly 85% upside, which would require sustained demand well beyond the current breakout attempt.
What could happen now?
Bullish scenario
If AXS can push through $1.41 on volume that stays elevated, the short-term setup would improve meaningfully, with the next orientation point further above. For that to hold up, RSI should not accelerate deeper into overbought territory, and MACD should keep expanding rather than flatten. Volume needs to stay well above the 30-day average to confirm that buyers are not just chasing a single candle. The level that should not be lost again on any pullback is $1.32, which has flipped from resistance into first support.
Trigger: > $1.41 with elevated volume
Bearish scenario
The bullish case weakens quickly if AXS slips back under $1.32 and then loses the $1.12 support. In that case the breakout would look more like a liquidity grab, momentum would cool and RSI would roll over from its elevated level. The next reference below is the secondary support near $0.996, which roughly aligns with the 50-day average at $0.99. A break of that zone would put the medium-term trend back under pressure and open room toward the monthly low near $0.88.
Trigger: < $1.12
Conclusion: Decision at $1.41
The technical setup is constructive, but momentum is already running hot after a 47% monthly gain. The decisive area is the zone between $1.32 and $1.41.
A clean break above $1.41 with sustained volume would confirm the breakout and keep the door open toward the AI model's upper range. A rejection here, followed by a loss of $1.12, would turn the current move into just another failed attempt and shift focus back toward the $0.99 area. The next few trading days are likely to set the direction.
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Continue to KrakenSince 2017, Philipp Duringer has been deeply involved in Bitcoin, crypto assets and digital financial markets. As the founder of Coinbird, he combines years of crypto experience with more than 15 years of technical experience in IT and digital products. His goal is to make crypto easier to understand, more transparent and easier to compare.
About the authorAI-assisted: This price analysis is generated automatically based on structured market data and reviewed through defined quality rules. It is for informational purposes only and is not financial or investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell crypto assets.
