Axie Infinity is roaring back to life: AXS surges almost 10% in a single day and pushes right into the $1.16 resistance zone. Trading volume is running 48% above its 30-day average, MACD has flipped bullish and price now sits above both key moving averages. The question is whether AXS can finally clear this ceiling, or whether sellers step in one more time.
Key takeaways in a nutshell
Sharp daily surge: AXS trades at $1.129 after a 9.9% daily jump and is up nearly 19% over the past 30 days.
Trend turns constructive: Price sits 20.6% above the 50-day average ($0.936) and 6.5% above the 200-day average ($1.06).
$1.16 is the line: The $1.16 resistance is the decisive level; a clean break opens the door toward $1.28.
Momentum with room: RSI at 57 signals healthy momentum without being overheated, leaving room for further upside.
AI sees upside range: The AI model projects a 2026 year-end range of $1.16 to $2.23, with a midpoint near $1.65.
What happened to the Axie Infinity price?
Axie Infinity jumped almost 10% in the last 24 hours to $1.129, pushing straight into the weekly high at $1.16. The move extends a longer recovery: AXS is now up 12.6% over 7 days and 18.8% over 30 days, marking one of the strongest stretches in months.
What stands out is the volume behind the move. Turnover of $33.7 million is running 47.7% above the 30-day average, a clear sign that buyers are stepping in with conviction rather than drifting higher on thin liquidity. That combination of price strength and volume expansion is exactly what a breakout attempt needs.
Key price levels for Axie Infinity
The first hurdle sits at $1.16, the weekly and monthly high; a daily close above this level would clear the path toward the next resistance around $1.28. On the downside, $0.914 is the key support, aligning closely with the monthly low and marking the floor of the recent range. If that zone fails, the next orientation level is $0.863, the 30-day low.
Axie Infinity indicators: RSI, MACD and volume
The three indicators currently paint a consistent bullish picture. The RSI at 57 shows solid momentum with plenty of headroom before overbought territory begins near 70. MACD has turned positive at 0.036 with a bullish signal, and the rising histogram confirms that momentum is accelerating rather than fading. Volume 47.7% above the 30-day average adds the missing piece: buyers are backing the move with real capital. Together, the setup suggests the rally into $1.16 is more than a low-conviction bounce.
Relative Strength Index
MACD
AI forecast for Axie Infinity
Looking toward year-end 2026, our AI forecast model places AXS in a wide range between $1.16 and $2.23. The central expected value sits at $1.65, but this is not a price target: it is the midpoint of a broad probability distribution and should be read as such.
The width of that range matters. It reflects the uncertainty that still surrounds AXS after a year in which the token remains down more than 48%. In the conservative case, the model implies only marginal upside of about 2.5% from current levels, while the optimistic case suggests roughly 96% higher. That spread underlines how much depends on whether the $1.16 breakout succeeds or fails.
What could happen now?
Bullish scenario
A daily close above $1.16 on sustained above-average volume would confirm the breakout attempt and open the path toward the next resistance at $1.28. In that case, the trend structure would strengthen further, with AXS clearly extending its distance above both the 50-day and 200-day averages. The setup requires RSI to keep climbing without slipping into overbought territory, while MACD and volume need to keep supporting the move. To keep the bullish thesis intact, price should not fall back below $1.06.
Trigger: > $1.16 with elevated volume
Bearish scenario
If AXS gets rejected at $1.16 and loses $0.914, the short-term picture would deteriorate quickly. A break of that support would invalidate the current recovery structure and expose the next orientation level at $0.863, the 30-day low. Below that, secondary support at $0.793 comes into view and would put the medium-term trend back under pressure. In that scenario, the reclaim of the 200-day average at $1.06 would turn into a failed breakout attempt.
Trigger: < $0.914
Conclusion: Decision at $1.16
The technical setup is constructive, but the move now runs into the most important resistance of the recent range. The decisive area is the $1.16 zone, where weekly and monthly highs converge.
A clean break with volume would unlock $1.28 as the next target and confirm the trend shift that RSI, MACD and turnover are already hinting at. A rejection, on the other hand, would push AXS back toward $0.914, and a loss of that support would quickly reopen the downside toward $0.863. The next few trading days are likely to set the direction.
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Continue to KrakenSince 2017, Philipp Duringer has been deeply involved in Bitcoin, crypto assets and digital financial markets. As the founder of Coinbird, he combines years of crypto experience with more than 15 years of technical experience in IT and digital products. His goal is to make crypto easier to understand, more transparent and easier to compare.
About the authorAI-assisted: This price analysis is generated automatically based on structured market data and reviewed through defined quality rules. It is for informational purposes only and is not financial or investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell crypto assets.
